Nearly three-quarters of likely U.S. voters, or 74%, say they trust the results of the November 3 midterm elections to be accurate, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll released ahead of Election Day. Another 23% said they did not trust the results, up from 17% who expressed similar concerns before the 2024 presidential election.

The survey found significant partisan differences over potential threats to election integrity. Half of likely voters said they were concerned Republicans might attempt to overturn the results illegally, compared with 31% who expressed similar concerns about Democrats. Among Democrats, 86% said they were concerned about Republicans overturning the results, a view shared by slightly more than half of independents.

Republicans expressed greater concern about illegal voting. The poll found that 85% of Republicans were more concerned about illegal voting than about eligible voters being prevented from casting ballots. Among Democrats, 86% were more concerned about eligible Americans being denied the opportunity to vote. Overall, more voters expressed concern about eligible voters being blocked from casting ballots than about voter fraud, reversing the pattern recorded in 2024.

Despite the partisan differences, more than three-quarters of respondents said American democracy is under threat, a concern that has remained relatively steady since 2022. However, most voters stopped short of describing political opponents as enemies. Among Republicans, 78% viewed Democrats as fellow Americans with whom they disagree politically, while 75% of Democrats expressed the same view of Republicans.

Still, 20% of Republicans and 22% of Democrats described members of the opposing party as enemies, with both figures increasing since 2024. Nearly 60% of voters also said the country has become too divided to address its problems.

The poll pointed to broader political challenges for Republicans heading into the midterms. Democrats led Republicans by 10 percentage points on the congressional ballot when respondents were shown candidates’ names. President Donald Trump’s job approval rating stood at 36%, while 59% disapproved of his performance. His approval rating on handling the cost of living was lower, at 29%, compared with 69% who disapproved.

Siena Research Institute Executive Director Don Levy said voters were dissatisfied with both major parties, adding that majorities believed Democrats and Republicans were focused on the wrong priorities.

The survey included 3,494 voters and was conducted October 12-19, with a margin of error of plus or minus 1.9 percentage points.