Rep. Pat Fallon (R-TX) expects Republicans to perform better than polling suggests in next month’s midterm elections, arguing that past polling errors and media coverage could be discouraging GOP voters from turning out.

During an appearance on Fox Business Network’s “The Evening Edit,” host Elizabeth MacDonald cited polling errors in recent presidential and Senate elections, including a Washington Post analysis finding that polls overestimated Democratic candidates by more than six points in Senate races in Iowa, Michigan and Ohio between 2018 and 2024.

Fallon agreed that polling has repeatedly missed Republican support. He pointed to campaign stops with House Majority Leader Steve Scalise in Virginia and North Carolina, saying he witnessed considerable enthusiasm among Republican voters.

“I suspect Republicans will certainly outperform the polls,” Fallon said, adding that the main question was how much they would exceed expectations.

Fallon also criticized a 2024 poll that showed then-Vice President Kamala Harris leading President Donald Trump in Iowa by three percentage points. Trump ultimately won the state by double digits.

The Texas congressman argued that polling and media coverage have been used to discourage Republican turnout, suggesting that predictions of Democratic gains could influence voter expectations ahead of Election Day.