A new internal poll commissioned by Arizona Gov. Katie Hobbs' campaign shows the Democratic incumbent holding a narrow lead over Republican Rep. Andy Biggs in the state's 2026 gubernatorial race.

The poll, conducted by Democratic polling firm GQR from Sept. 30 through Oct. 5, found Hobbs at 49% and Biggs at 45%. Another 3% backed other candidates, while 4% remained undecided.

The results were released in a donor memo from the Hobbs campaign and represent internal polling rather than an independent public survey. The campaign did not release a sample size, detailed methodology, or demographic breakdowns by party, age, or race. The memo admits the four-point lead by Hobbs is "well within the margin of error" of the poll but did not give specifics on the margin of error otherwise.

The four-point margin is notably narrower than other recent public polling, making the internal numbers difficult to compare directly with surveys that provide full methodological details.

The race is expected to be closely watched as Republicans seek to win back the Arizona governor's office. Hobbs, who took office in 2023, is seeking another term while Biggs is running as the Republican challenger.

Conservative Arizona Rep. Michael Way, a Republican, responded to the poll on X, criticizing the Democratic ticket and arguing that voters will ultimately judge Hobbs and other Democratic candidates on their lackluster records in office.

"Arizona Democrats are finally coming to terms with the fact that they have perhaps one of the worst tickets in modern history," Way said. He specifically pointed to affordability and public safety, arguing that Arizona is "less affordable" under Hobbs and "less safe" under Democratic Attorney General Kris Mayes. He urged Arizona voters to support Republican candidates across the ballot in November.

The Hobbs campaign's internal survey provides a snapshot of the race from the Democratic incumbent's own pollster. While the absence of basic methodological information means the topline figures cannot be independently evaluated to the same degree as a fully released public poll, Hobbs' campaign admitting to a lack of funding and momentum in the weeks before the November general election should make Democrats nervous in a battleground state with a Republican-leaning electorate that President Donald Trump carried by nearly six points in 2024.