Republican Mike Rogers has pulled into an even matchup with Democrat Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan’s U.S. Senate race, according to a new statewide poll conducted ahead of the November election.
Rogers and El-Sayed each receive 45% support among likely Michigan voters in a co/efficient survey conducted Sept. 21-23, while Libertarian candidate Lydia Christensen receives 2% and 8% remain undecided. The poll surveyed 843 likely general-election voters and has a margin of error of ±3.36 percentage points.
The poll also shows the race tied when voters are presented with only the Republican and Democratic candidates. Rogers and El-Sayed each receive 50% in that head-to-head matchup.
Rogers has a 38% favorable rating and 47% unfavorable rating in the survey, while El-Sayed has a 39% favorable rating and 50% unfavorable rating. Rogers also has a slightly larger share of voters who have not formed an opinion of him, with 16% offering no opinion compared with 11% for El-Sayed.
The close race comes as El-Sayed faces renewed scrutiny over his record and several controversies that have followed his campaign. One of the most recent involves his tenure as Detroit’s health director, when the city’s animal-control operation fell under his department. Critics have highlighted the number of animals euthanized during the period, while a Bridge Michigan fact check found that many of the problems cited by critics predated El-Sayed’s oversight and that euthanasia numbers declined during his tenure. El-Sayed’s campaign has argued that he inherited an operation with serious staffing, facility and procedural problems and improved its live-release rate.
El-Sayed has also faced criticism over his comments following a March attack at Temple Israel, a synagogue near Detroit. He said at the time that “hurt people hurt people” and that violence is a cycle. El-Sayed later apologized, saying the comments were misplaced and hurtful and that he did not intend to justify the attack. The remarks nevertheless drew criticism from some Jewish Democrats and other political figures.
His political relationship with left-wing streamer Hasan Piker has created another source of controversy. El-Sayed campaigned with Piker during the Democratic primary, and several Democrats have criticized the relationship because of Piker’s past comments about Israel and American Jews. Rep. Hillary Scholten declined to endorse El-Sayed, citing his continued association with Piker. El-Sayed has condemned antisemitism and said his commitment to Jewish safety is equal to his commitment to the safety of his own family, while stopping short of labeling Piker antisemitic.
El-Sayed has also faced scrutiny over his campaign's claim that he helped erase $700 million in medical debt while serving as Wayne County health director. Bridge Michigan reported that the program launched under El-Sayed is designed to eliminate up to $700 million in debt, but that the county had settled approximately $57.4 million as of June, meaning the full $700 million figure had not yet been reached.
The Senate contest is taking place for an open seat after Democratic Sen. Gary Peters chose not to seek reelection. Rogers, a former congressman, is seeking the Senate seat again after narrowly losing his 2024 bid to Democrat Elissa Slotkin. El-Sayed won the Democratic nomination in August.
The co/efficient survey also found President Donald Trump with a 40% approval rating in Michigan, compared with 55% who disapprove and 5% who are unsure. Forty-six percent said they support Trump, while 48% said they do not.
The Michigan governor's race showed a similarly competitive contest, with Democrat Jocelyn Benson receiving 47% support and Republican John James receiving 44%, while 8% were undecided.
The latest numbers come after several September surveys showing El-Sayed with leads ranging from narrow to more substantial, although the size of those leads has varied by poll. A Washington Post-Schar School survey conducted earlier in September found El-Sayed leading Rogers 48% to 45%, a margin within that poll's margin of error.
With the latest co/efficient survey showing the candidates tied, the Michigan Senate race remains closely divided heading into the final weeks before the Nov. 3 election.
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