The 2026 Atlantic hurricane season continues its historically quiet pace with no hurricanes formed as of September 19. Only five named storms have developed so far, well below average expectations for this point in the season.
Tropical Depression Six formed southwest of the Azores on September 19 and poses no threat to land. It may briefly strengthen into Tropical Storm Fay before dissipating over open water.
This marks the latest date without a hurricane in the Atlantic since satellite tracking began in 1966. Average conditions by this date include four hurricanes and two major hurricanes.
Forecasters attribute the lack of activity primarily to a strong El Niño event that has increased wind shear and dry air across the basin, suppressing tropical development. The accumulated cyclone energy stands at a record low of about 4.4 units, roughly 7 percent of normal.
The season's peak around September 10 passed with minimal activity, continuing a trend seen in prior El Niño years. While the Atlantic has stayed calm, the eastern Pacific has seen above-average storm formation.
NOAA's preseason outlook called for a below-normal season with 7 to 13 named storms and 2 to 6 hurricanes. Current activity aligns with those predictions. Experts caution that late-season development remains possible through November, though models show limited near-term prospects.
Coastal residents are advised to maintain preparedness as the season runs until November 30, even during this unusually subdued period.
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